Ok, I made up a method to try and see if coolant is flowing through the radiator. I removed the lower hose at the thermostat, and removed the upper hose at the head. I put a trash bag over the opening at the lower hose, and blew through the upper hose. Coolant came right out.
Theoretically, would that mean the radiator is getting flow?
I want to try the same thing now, but with the water pump. If nothing comes out, then surely that means the water pump is not pumping, correct?
Before the trash bag/blow method, I started it up and nothing was coming out on its own.
If my crazy, backyard method is correct, I think I'm narrowing it down to the water pump without removing the exhaust manifold and checking the impeller.